Southern California Rents Expected to Keep Rising: Which Counties Will Be Hit Hardest

Aerial view of housing developments in Southern California

Los Angeles, CA, December 6, 2025

Southern California renters can expect continued rent increases over the next two years, with some counties like Orange County projected to experience hikes of up to 2.52%. The USC’s Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast indicates that a persistent housing shortage, rising inflation, and new regulatory changes are key factors driving these increases. Renters are encouraged to plan their budgets accordingly and stay informed about market trends to navigate these changes effectively.

Southern California Rents Expected to Keep Rising: Which Counties Will Be Hit Hardest

Los Angeles, CA – Southern California renters can anticipate continued rent increases over the next two years, with certain counties projected to experience higher hikes than others. According to the University of Southern California’s (USC) Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast, rent growth is expected to range from 0.64% in Los Angeles County to 2.52% in Orange County.

Projected Rent Increases by County

The forecast provides the following projections for average annual rent growth through 2027:

  • Los Angeles County: 0.64%
  • Orange County: 2.52%
  • Riverside County: 1.5%
  • San Bernardino County: 1.5%
  • San Diego County: 1.5%
  • Ventura County: 1.5%

Factors Influencing Rent Increases

Several factors contribute to the anticipated rise in rents across Southern California:

  • Housing Shortage: A persistent shortage of available housing units is placing upward pressure on rental prices.
  • Inflation: Rising costs of living, including utilities and maintenance, are leading landlords to adjust rents accordingly.
  • Regulatory Changes: Recent legislative updates, such as the revision of Assembly Bill 246, have introduced new eviction protections, which may influence rental pricing strategies.

Implications for Renters

Renters should be aware of the following:

  • Budget Planning: Anticipate modest annual rent increases when planning personal finances.
  • Lease Negotiations: Engage in proactive discussions with landlords to secure favorable lease terms.
  • Stay Informed: Keep abreast of local housing policies and market trends to make informed decisions.

Conclusion

While rent increases in Southern California are expected to remain moderate over the next two years, certain counties may experience higher hikes due to factors like housing shortages and inflation. Renters are advised to plan accordingly and stay informed about local market conditions.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What is the projected annual rent increase in Los Angeles County?

The projected annual rent increase in Los Angeles County is 0.64%.

Which county is expected to experience the highest rent increase?

Orange County is expected to experience the highest rent increase, with a projected annual growth of 2.52%.

What factors are contributing to the anticipated rent increases?

Factors contributing to the anticipated rent increases include a persistent housing shortage, rising inflation, and recent regulatory changes affecting rental policies.

How can renters prepare for these rent increases?

Renters can prepare by budgeting for modest annual rent increases, engaging in proactive lease negotiations, and staying informed about local housing policies and market trends.

Summary Table of Rent Projections and Influencing Factors

County Projected Annual Rent Increase
Los Angeles County 0.64%
Orange County 2.52%
Riverside County 1.5%
San Bernardino County 1.5%
San Diego County 1.5%
Ventura County 1.5%

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